-----Mensagem original----- De: owner-lbo-talk at lists.panix.com [mailto:owner-lbo-talk at lists.panix.com]Em nome de Brad DeLong Enviada em: quinta-feira, 16 de agosto de 2001 22:53 Para: lbo-talk at lists.panix.com Assunto: Re: RES: Gunter Grass on globalisation
>Brad de Long wrote.
>
>The big distortion here is the claim that the rise in the rural
>poverty rate by 8.6 percentage points between 1990-1991 and 1992 was
>the direct result of the sudden imposition of "neoliberal" policies...
>
>
>-What would be the alternative explanations?
>
> Alexandre
Bad weather. It recovered in the following two years, and then has been roughly flat for the rest of the 1990s...
Brad De Long
-So there is more than bad weather. If a country has GNP growth near -to 5-6% an year it would be expected a improvement in poverty rates -and not a flat curve. But the graphics presented here showed that -poverty rates still were higher than 1993-4 by 1998. So there was -a late increase in poverty in addition to bad weather effects by -1991-2
Alexandre