1980...anderson?
here's another more elaborate break down. while some of the variance is explained by women becoming more conservative, there are other factors: age, education, and men becoming more conservative. More commentary below:
Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero GEND
W 50 48 45 47 7 44 56 49 50 46 37 17 M 50 48 36 55 7 37 62 41 57 41 38 21 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- PARTY
DemW 78 22 71 23 5 77 22 84 16 78 10 12 DemM 77 22 63 29 6 71 28 80 18 77 9 14
RepW 10 90 10 85 5 8 92 9 90 10 74 16 RepM 9 90 8 87 4 7 93 8 91 10 71 19
IndW 42 55 34 50 13 40 59 46 52 41 32 27 IndM 44 53 27 60 10 32 66 40 58 36 33 32
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Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero RACE
WW 46 52 39 52 8 38 62 43 65 41 41 18 WM 47 51 32 58 7 32 67 36 62 37 41 22
BW 86 14 88 9 3 38 62 90 9 86 9 5 BM 80 19 83 14 3 85 12 81 15 77 15 9 --------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero AGE 18-29 W 51 47 49 39 10 44 55 50 49 48 33 19 M 50 47 39 47 11 36 63 43 55 38 36 26
Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero 30-44 W 49 49 41 50 8 45 54 49 50 44 38 18 M 49 49 31 59 8 38 61 40 58 39 38 22
Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero 45-59 W 46 53 44 50 5 42 57 48 52 43 40 17 M 48 51 34 60 5 36 62 36 62 40 40 20
Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero 60+ W 49 50 43 52 4 42 58 52 48 51 39 10 M 44 55 40 56 3 37 62 46 53 49 37 14
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Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero EDUC
<HS W 56 41 2 52 46 62 38 58 27 15 M 47 51 2 47 52 50 49 30 49 21
^^^^^^^*
*looks like those sexist working class men aren't as
dicky abt Carter as the college edjukated are.. and
you guys wonder why i prefer working stiffs. heh.
Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero HS W 44 50 5 41 58 50 50 43 38 19 M 42 53 3 37 62 49 50 43 34 23
Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero <Coll W 39 52 8 41 58 45 54 43 38 18 M 31 59 8 33 66 38 60 29 37 24
Cart Ford | Cart Reag Ande | Mond Reag | Duka Bush | Clin Bush Pero Coll W 44 42 12 47 52 51 49 49 35 16 M 28 59 11 36 63 36 63 40 41 19 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- source: "Portrait of the U.S.Electorate," New York Times, 11.05.92 --------------------------------------------------------------------------
It was in the 80s that there appeared to be a statistically significant difference along gender lines. The gender gap was debated heavily, and it was concluded that men, esp. formerly Democratic men--were more attracted to the hawkishness of Reagan's rhetoric and to the proposals for cutting back on welfare programs. From the data we see that the gender gap is evident among Independent and Democrats in 80 and 84. However, in 1993, a different pattern: support for Clinton was larger among Blacks than among whites, and there was a clear gender difference notable among the youngest voters, and among the least and most educated voters. You can also see the gender gap along age lines--where men are clearly shifting to the right as compared to women.
http://www.prospect.org/print/V4/15/paget-k.html
"The recent introduction of the term "gender gap" into the American political lexicon suggests a renewed possibility of women's political solidarity. The National Organization for Women coined the term in response to exit poll data from the 1980 presidential race that showed women's support for Jimmy Carter exceeded men's support by a statistically significant margin of nearly 8 percent. (Women gave 45 percent of their votes to Carter, while men gave him 37; women gave 46 percent to Reagan, while men gave him 54 percent.) Most analysts in 1980 had focused on the 1 percent difference in how women voted, not on the wider gap between the way men and women voted."