US poll: public sees danger of making bin Laden a martyr

Chris Burford cburford at gn.apc.org
Sat Oct 13 09:58:09 PDT 2001


NSBC networked in Europe, today reports a newsweek opinion poll that shows the majority of the US sample in favour of follow up ground attacks, realising that air attacks will not succeed. A slight majority is in favour of sepcialist units rather than a full scale ground war.

But on follow-up questioning a slight majority agree that capturing bin Laden will make him a martyr.


>ABC poll yesterday showed according to the Guardian:
>
>Two-thirds in US fear escalation into wider war
>
>Two-thirds of Americans are concerned that the US campaign could escalate
>into a wider war pitting America and its allies against the Arab and
>Muslim world, according to a poll released yesterday.
>
>The ABC News poll also found fewer than half of Americans have a positive
>view of Islam, while about two-thirds said they lacked a good
>understanding of that religion.
>
>Some 1,009 American adults were questioned by telephone on Monday and
>Tuesday for the poll.
>
>Respondents were asked whether they were worried that the conflict could
>turn into a broader war between the US and its allies against Arabs and
>Muslims. Sixty-six percent said they were worried (25% greatly worried and
>41% somewhat worried), while 33% said they were not worried and 1% had no
>opinion.

Opinion polls are thus emerging to show their own contradictions. I could not find the detailed poll report on the Newsweek site but I did find this article from Sept 15th which points out the bandwagen effect of simplistic initial polls on capital-led bourgeois democracy:-

Chris Burford

London

Stop polling. Start thinking War policy should not be set by public opinion By Richard C. Harwood MSNBC CONTRIBUTOR

WASHINGTON, Sept. 15 — Already the public opinion poll results are stacking up. So now, each day we will hear competing numbers — one telling us how many are dead from the ghastly attacks on America, the other on how willing Americans are to go to war. The first is a tragedy, and the latter a perilously foolish exercise. What America needs is some room to think about recent events, not more polling numbers masquerading as truth.

THE VENERABLE Washington Post put a survey into the field almost immediately after Tuesday’s attack, posting results by 11:24 P.M. With the headline, “Americans Willing to Go to War,” the story’s lead was, “The overwhelming majority of Americans are willing to risk war to hunt down and punish terrorist groups.” If polls were about people’s anger and grief, indeed if they helped us to sort out people’s competing and even contradictory thoughts, that would be one thing. But the questions being posed are simplistic and overdone. Yet they are being used to gauge public sentiment and our nation’s will. This is a mistake.

.....

All across America this week people have been wrestling with such questions around their kitchen tables, in their workplaces, in the sanctuaries of their faiths. Embedded within these conversations is a host of ideals and values and emotions — all swirling around, producing deep ambivalence and uncertainty. In this kind of environment, public opinion gauged through quickie-surveys will change as quickly as events. When deep ambivalence is at work, people need room to think, to feel, to talk, to wonder. We must struggle with what we know — and, importantly, with what we do not know.

AVOID SIMPLISTIC QUESTIONS

There is another problem here: simplistic polling questions have a way of framing public debate. They reduce everything to an easy, convenient sound bite. As poll results come in, the news media report on them. Then citizens, politicians, pundits and others all start commenting on the results. More stories are written. We are barraged by more headlines. Such public opinion, when reported, has a funny way of producing its own contagious momentum. This can stop public conversation before anyone has the opportunity to hear and consider different ideas and perspectives — indeed, before anyone has had much time to weigh the implications and trade-offs of various actions. Instead, the fault-lines in polls start to drive public discussion: “Are you for or against going to war?” Hurry up, you must decide.

Now is not the time to hurry up, but for America to come together as a nation to make sense of these recent events, figure out our next steps, and determine what kinds of trade-offs we are willing to live with. For this to occur, we must act to keep the conversation open, not close it down through superficial polls that suggest a certainty in our views, when in reality uncertainty abounds.

FIGHTING UNYIELDING PRESSURE

In this nation, we have become conditioned to look at polls to tell us something about our very selves. But today, poll results that suggest growing public sentiment to go to war, or to hurriedly take other steps, can produce misplaced pressure on our leaders to act — maybe with the wrong measure, maybe before the time is right. Our nation must find the courage and humility to make its way through these horrific times. There are many questions we must struggle with. Anger and hurt persist and so too does ambivalence about what to do. So, for now, it is important for we citizens to continue to talk to one another — to sort through our emotions, find comfort, and generate hope. For our leaders to inspire stability and demonstrate wisdom. And for our news media to help us make sense of these events and to illuminate different perspectives. We need some room.

Richard C. Harwood is president of The Harwood Institute for Public Innovation, a non-profit, nonpartisan organization that studies American politics and public life. He directs the ongoing Political Conduct Initiative funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts.



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