Danger signs for U.S. Dollar

joanna bujes joanna.bujes at ebay.sun.com
Tue Apr 30 10:55:18 PDT 2002


At 01:18 PM 04/30/2002 -0400, Doug wrote:
>Hyman can change
>his opinion 180 degrees from one week to the next, but his value is
>that he's the embodiment of conventional wisdom, so if he's worried,
>dollar anxiety may have spread beyond the usual gang of bears.

So, lower dollar means:

--improving balance of trade (cause exports are cheaper?)

--debt becomes less expensive

but

--capital flight to more valuable currencies

--increased interest rates to halt capital flight

--therefore, possibly strangling the economy into deflationary crisis?

AND in light of the previous BUT, no war--cause there's no economy to support it?

Joanna



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