moral hazard

John Mage jmage at panix.com
Thu Oct 17 08:36:41 PDT 2002


Perhaps the slimiest most wicked tactic of bankers with political pull is simultaneoudly to go short and to advise "tough"crisis or panic creating measures. It has a very long history. E.g., in early 1834 Joseph Brothers, New York brokers, worked hard with their newspaper publisher partner Webb (by newspaper advice and political pressure) to stop the 2nd Bank of the United States from relaxing credit to terminate the panic set off by the withdrawal of the treasury deposits. They were short. T.P. Govan, _Nicholas Biddle_ (1959) p.260.

But giving self-interested advice in order to make money on the misery of other property owners (their clients, often) is, for obvious reasons, normally disguised.

How shameless then this partial quote in today's NYTimes from a Goldman Sachs spokesperson:

> "We're probably in the same scenario as in 1998, where the goal is

> financial sector stability, no matter how you get there," said

> Kathy Matsui, an equity strategist at Goldman, Sachs in Tokyo. "The

> government will do just enough to get through this, and Takenaka's

> team will have to pray that it's enough."

>

> A compromise with the banks, Ms. Matsui said, might prop up stocks

> in the short term but would antagonize investors who had taken the

> government at its word and sold Japanese assets in anticipation of

> tough action.

<http://www.nytimes.com/2002/10/17/business/worldbusiness/17YEN.html>

john mage



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