Brenner in LRB

John Mage jmage at panix.com
Tue Feb 4 17:43:11 PST 2003


A colorful ("stock market keynesianism"), underedited (repeats at the start and end of the piece word for word that the Bush tax cuts for the rich will do as little in the way of stimulus for the US economy as the war on Iraq will do for US security), piece by Robert Brenner on the conjucture and how it got that way "Towards the Precipice : Robert Brenner on the crisis in the US economy" at <http://www.lrb.co.uk/v25/n03/bren01_.html>

As ever he relies on his fave one factor causal model (exchange rates / international "competition"), but in this piece it doesn't really much figure - it almost seems to have been thrown in more as a matter of habit. As for what has to be key - overcapacity - he lays it out with enthusiasm. And as for what would happen if (when?) a dramatic fall of the US dollar appears inevitable, he asks the right questions - would not those who could get out by selling US dollar assets make a mad rush for the door, and then would not the Fed be faced with either instant collapse in asset prices or raising interest rates (i.e. a collapse a bit later) to keep the hot cash in dollars?

(except that the ruling classes of most of the world know that a crisis for the US ruling class would be their crisis as well...)

john mage



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