The Texas populist take on the tax cut

Michael Pollak mpollak at panix.com
Fri Jan 10 02:53:25 PST 2003


[The distinctively populist stuff is after the bullet points]

The Sacramento Bee -- sacbee.com

The rich are screwing up our democracy By Molly Ivins

Published 2:15 a.m. PST Thursday, January 9, 2003

AUSTIN, Texas -- I just love the fine print in the president's tax-cut

plan. I grant you, the overall effect is pretty spectacular, too -- a

plan that has almost no stimulative effect but still opens a future of

zillion-dollar deficits to drag down the economy. That's the

backasswards of what we need, but it's not the fun part.

Look at these little goodies:

-- Think because you have money in the stock market you might have a

stake in eliminating the dividend tax, the centerpiece of the

president's tax cut -- $300 billion over 10 years? (You probably think

you have money in the stock market because your 401K keeps going down

-- that would be 40 million Americans.) But no! This tax break doesn't

apply to your dividends! The money in your 401K from both savings and

dividends are tax sheltered until you withdraw the money -- then all

of it gets taxed as ordinary income. You don't get any tax break on

your dividends -- that only goes to the investor class. According to

Kevin Phillips, 1 percent of investors pocketed 42 percent of the

stock-market gains between 1989 and 1997, while the top 10 percent of

the population took 86 percent. These people need a tax cut! They

haven't been getting their share!

-- According to the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, the effect of

eliminating dividend taxation is that the average benefit for those

making less than $10,000 would be $6, and average benefit for those

making more than $1 million would be $45,098. Quick, high-schoolers,

let's practice up for the those SATs by figuring out by what

percentage $45,098 is bigger than $6.

-- Bush also wants to accelerate the income-tax cuts slated for 2006.

Look at this folly. The top 5 percent of taxpayers would get 70

percent of the benefits on that one. The bottom 80 percent would get

6.5 percent of the benefits. Ditto with accelerating the 2004 tax

cuts: 64.4 percent to the top 5 percent of taxpayers; 7.7 percent to

the bottom 80 percent.

-- One of those people who can't handle numbers, need something visual

to work with? Find the Urban-Brookings charts published in the Jan. 7

New York Times showing who gets how much of this tax cut. You can

barely see the lines that measure the relief until you get above the

99th percentile.

Naturally there will be a lot of spinning on these tax cuts in the

weeks ahead, with numbers being tossed around like confetti. We'll

probably need John Paulos, the innumeracy guy, to referee. I recommend

the Center for Tax Justice (www.ctj.org) -- its computer model is

widely respected.

Speaking of damn lies and statistics, one of the little games being

played in Washington is that the Republicans want to switch to Enron

accounting on the economy. They're leaning on both the Congressional

Budget Office (CBO) and the Joint Committee on Taxation to change the

way they make their economic estimates. According to the R's, "static

scoring" -- as opposed to your "dynamic scoring" -- overestimates the

cost of tax cuts by ignoring their role in boosting economic growth.

Why, claim the R's, tax cuts pay for themsleves! If that's so, why are

all the states going broke? Bring on Arthur Andersen and

mark-to-market accounting -- that'll perk up the economy.

The only good part of the Bush's tax cut plan is the $400 increase in

the tax credit per child -- at least that spreads it around a little.

Naturally, that's the one part of the plan right-wingers hate.

As we all wade into these numerical battles over exactly how much of

this tax cut goes to the very rich, the more fundamental question is

whether it's a good idea -- either economically, or in terms of social

justice, to have the very rich get very much richer than they already

are.

Contrary to the paranoid fantasists on The Wall Street Journal's

editorial page, populists are not motivated by some burning resentment

of the rich -- we don't spend our lives in an envious funk that

someone else is better off than we are. "No skin off my nose" is the

general attitude, with others coming in at "Lucky them" or "Good for

them." The problem is that the rich are screwing up our democracy.

Less than 0.1 percent of the U.S. population gave 83 percent of all

itemized campaign contributions for the 2002 elections, according to

the Center for Responsive Politics. According to the Houston

Chronicle, just 48 wealthy Texas families provided more than half the

campaign funds for the major Republican state candidates this fall.

How dumb do you have to be not to be able to connect the dots here?

Law, policy and regulation are consistently shaped to favor the rich

over the rest of us, and that, dammit, is not fair, it is not right,

it is not the country we want and for which we are asked to sacrifice.



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