SOTU

[Nathan Newman]

Of course, Bush in the past has benefitted from low expectations.  Now,
people are assuming that his speech will be effective, so the
counter-programming of conventional wisdom could take him down, with
commentators declaring the "Bush magic is gone."  I have never been that
impressed with Bush speeches (except parts of his nomination speech) and he
has horsecrap to sell this time around-- he has the danger that the lies he
tells about the tax cut may get contradicted in the next day's paper.  He
could, as some people note, get "Gored" on the details and made to look like
a liar.

So we'll see which way the conventional media wisdom goes on this one.

----- Original Message -----
From: "Max B. Sawicky" <sawicky at bellatlantic.net>
To: <lbo-talk at lists.panix.com>
Sent: Tuesday, January 28, 2003 3:01 PM
Subject: RE: SOTU

It will help him.  They have smart people to write
speeches to make him look good, and the platform
is an unmatched opportunity.

mbs

-----Original Message-----
From: owner-lbo-talk at lists.panix.com
[mailto:owner-lbo-talk at lists.panix.com]On Behalf Of Doug Henwood
Sent: Tuesday, January 28, 2003 2:46 PM
To: lbo-talk
Subject: SOTU

So what are the odds on the State of the Union effect? My guess is
that as long as Bush avoids visibly frothing, it will be proclaimed a
"home run" by the pundits, who will condede that he still has a
little more work to "close the deal" on the war, but conclude that
the speech was a masterful and heroic intervention that has changed
the course of history. Am I being too pessimistic?

Doug