http://www.darpa.mil/iao/FutureMap.htm
http://www.policyanalysismarket.org/
http://abcnews.go.com/wire/Politics/ap20030728_1880.html
http://www.msnbc.com/news/945269.asp?0sl=-22&cp1=1
This Pentagon project says that a "free market" solution is the best way to predict terrorist attacks ("analysis reports" is on the edge of the dartboard picture they have, "delphi methods" a little closer and "market methods" the bullseye of course). They're taking bets on when the next terrorist attack, assassination and whatnot will happen. If you guess right, bingo! You win!
Hooray for the free market!
Lance