> > As for international trade preventing war, I seem to recall that that
>> was a popular theory before WW I, and it didn't seem to work very well
>> then.
>
>The oiligarchy is bent on returning to the 19th century, but its
>paymasters are not. Three things make world wars exceedingly unlikely
>today: (1) thermonuclear weapons, which ensure that noone would survive,
>let alone win, (2) the cultural integration of the planet, via tourism,
>the Web, the mass media, etc., and (3) the long-term interests of the
>rising semiperipheries and metropoles are aligned.
John Maynard Keynes, Economic Consequences of the Peace, pp. 11-12:
The inhabitant of London could order by telephone, sipping his morning tea in bed, the various products of the whole earth, in such quantity as he might see fit, and reasonably expect their early delivery upon his doorstep; he could at the same moment and by the same means adventure his wealth in the natural resources and new enterprises of any quarter of the world, and share, without exertion or even trouble, in their prospective fruits and advantages; or he could decide to couple the security of his fortunes with the good faith of the townspeople of any substantial municipality in any continent that fancy or information might recommend. He could secure forthwith, if he wished it, cheap and comfortable means of transit to any country or climate without passport or other formality, could despatch his servant to the neighboring office of a bank for such supply of the precious metals as might seem convenient, and could then proceed abroad to foreign quarters, without knowledge of their religion, language, or customs, bearing coined wealth upon his person, and would consider himself greatly aggrieved and much surpised at the least interference. But, most important of all, he regarded this state of affairs as normal, certain, and permanent, except in the direction of improvement, and any deviation from it as aberrant, scandalous, and avoidable. The projects and politics of militarism and imperialism, of racial and cultural rivalries, of monopolies, restrictions, and exclusion, which were to play the serpent to this paradise, were litle more than the amusements of his daily newspaper, and appeared to exercise almost no influence at all on the ordinary course of social and economic life, the internationalization of which was nearly complete in practice.