[lbo-talk] Badnarik in polls

Simon Huxtable jetfromgladiators at yahoo.com
Fri Aug 13 08:31:28 PDT 2004


Rasmussen is including Badnarik in its New Mexico poll:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/New%20Mexico%20August%205.htm

New Mexico, August 4 Kerry 50% Bush 43% Badnarik 5% Not Sure 2% MOE=4.5%, n=300, Telephone Poll

August 5, 2004--Rasmussen Reports finds John Kerry with a 7-point lead over George W. Bush among New Mexico voters. Our first Election 2004 survey in the state shows Kerry with 50% of the vote, Bush with 43%, and Libertarian Michael Badnarik with 5%. Ralph Nader is not on the ballot in New Mexico.

This moves New Mexico to the "Leans Kerry" column for our Electoral College projection. Four years ago, Gore won the state by less than 400 votes.

Among all adults, as opposed to Likely Voters, Kerry leads 48% to 43% for Bush with Badnarik still attracting 5% of the vote.

In New Mexico, 48% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's slightly below his national Job Approval rating.

Twenty-three percent (23%) of Republicans and 25% of Democrats say there are circumstances under which they would consider voting for Badnarik. After learning that Badnarik says he would stop the War in Iraq and the Drug War, just 13% of Republicans say there is still a possibility they would vote for the Libertarian. With that same information, 28% of Democrats would consider a vote for Badnarik and 43% of unaffiliated voters would do the same.

Simon


> Tommy Kelly wrote:
>
> >What happens to the 2004 numbers if you add
> Libertarian Party's
> >candidate Michael Badnarik?
>
> No one includes him in polls.
>
> Doug

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