[lbo-talk] Re: USA Today: Bush approval rating

[Simon Huxtable]

It's interesting, but I find these kind of appeals to
history rather suspicious. After all, don't we say "no
president except for Truman [has won an election with
an approval rating of below 50% at this point, etc.]"?
If Kerry wins, Bush will be the first president since
x to buck the trend and in 2008 we'll quote that
statistic. Every election creates its own conditions
and I'm suspicious of reading these tea leaves,
especially as when two readings - Bush can't win [with
such a low opinion poll rating in April]; Bush can't
lose [with an rating of 50%+ in August] - come face to
face. Something's got to give.

Simon

 
> Bush's job-approval rating climbs back above 50%
> 
> By Judy Keen, USA TODAY
> 
> LAS VEGAS — President Bush's job-approval rating, a
> key indicator of an incumbent's chance of being
> re-elected, has turned upward, the Gallup Poll
> finds.
> 	
> The share of Americans who say they approve of the
> job
> Bush is doing inched over the 50% mark to 51%. No
> president who was at or above 50% at this point in
> an
> election year has lost.
> 
> [...]
> 
>
http://yahoo.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/president/2004-08-12-bush-usat_x.htm?csp=1
> 
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