> The findings suggest that, at this point in the campaign, Bush is
> falling short of his goal of notably improving on the 35 percent share
> of the Hispanic vote he received four years ago
-is another way of saying they voted 2-1 against him last time. So
-actually this isn't big news. He's not improving his position with
-Latinos, but it's not clear he's falling behind either. He seems to be
-holding perfectly steady with this group.
Except as you noted, it's an expanding population, so for every three new Latino voters since 2000, Kerry has gained two additional votes over Gore for every vote gained by Bush.
Watch the polls-- Arizona is in contention this year and it is no doubt related to this.
Nathan