>On Fri, 23 Jul 2004 23:35:08 -0400, <press at bordersunion.org> wrote:
>
>>Future fodder for someone's thesis on the failure of polling.
>
> Doug can provide much more data from AAPOR but, I'll just say, as
>a former employee of the (Mervin) Field Poll in Ca. founded in '45,
>that the Field Poll from 1948 to 2000, was within 1%+or- of the Nov.
>Pres. popular vote.
I'm away with a very slow connection, but yeah, the polls are still very close to predicting final election results, and there's been little or no deterioration in recent times.
Doug