"That's what I thought, but indicators this month are pointing to a Bush win in November."
What "indicators"? This poll just came out:
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Zogby Poll Shows Democratic Ticket Up 5 Points
Fri Jul 30, 7:08 AM ET
BOSTON (Reuters) - While the Democratic National Convention was under way, the Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney (news - web sites) lost some ground to John Kerry (news - web sites) and John Edwards (news - web sites), a new poll showed on Thursday.
The poll by Zogby America showed that though the Democratic ticket didn't gain points during the four-day convention, the Republicans lost three percentage points to the undecided category.
The poll of 1,001 likely voters conducted from Monday through Thursday found Kerry-Edwards leading Bush-Cheney 48 percent to 43 percent, with 8 percent undecided. A similar sampling taken July 6-7 had the Democrats up 48 percent to 46 percent, with 5 percent undecided.
The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20040730/pl_nm/campaign_poll_dc_3