Today's Daily Kos
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/3/9/221629/5292
highlights a chart in the middle of the latest gallup poll:
http://www.gallup.com/content/Default.asp?ci=10942&pg=1
<quote>
In other words, Kerry has a lock on the Gore states, has an even bigger lead in the swing states (55-39!), and is within striking distance of the Red states.
At this point, all Bush can do is drive up Kerry's negatives, and they'll be successful up to a certain point (hard to avoid the sting of a $200 million negative campaign). But Kerry has already locked up much of his electoral base, while Bush still has work to do on his.
<endquote>
Michael