[lbo-talk] Red, Purple and Blue

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Wed Mar 10 10:30:39 PST 2004


Michael Pollak wrote:


>Today's Daily Kos
>
>http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/3/9/221629/5292
>
>highlights a chart in the middle of the latest gallup poll:
>
>http://www.gallup.com/content/Default.asp?ci=10942&pg=1
>
><quote>
>
>In other words, Kerry has a lock on the Gore states, has an even bigger
>lead in the swing states (55-39!), and is within striking distance of the
>Red states.
>
>At this point, all Bush can do is drive up Kerry's negatives, and they'll
>be successful up to a certain point (hard to avoid the sting of a $200
>million negative campaign). But Kerry has already locked up much of his
>electoral base, while Bush still has work to do on his.

Don't forget this bit from Gallup:


>When Ralph Nader is included in the hypothetical matchup, the
>consumer activist takes votes away from Kerry, but not from Bush.
>Among registered voters, Kerry receives 47% support, Bush 45%, and
>Nader 5% -- a three-point decline for Kerry with Nader in the race,
>but no decline for Bush.



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