[lbo-talk] Mitchel Cohen responds

Wojtek Sokolowski sokol at jhu.edu
Tue Mar 16 09:10:33 PST 2004


Doug:
> Also, check this out. Amazing class skew to the electorate - 27%
> "upper middle class," with another 4% "upper class."
>
> Vote by Class All Gore Bush Buchan Nader
> Upper Class 4 % 56 % 39 % 0 % 3 %
> Upper-Middle 27 % 43 % 54 % 0 % 3 %
> Middle Class 46 % 48 % 49 % 0 % 2 %
> Working Class 18 % 51 % 46 % 0 % 3 %
> Lower Class 2 % 0 % 0 % 0 % 0 %
>

Equally, if not more amazing is the perceived mobility; those perceiving themselves as upwardly mobile voted Gore, those who were downwardly mobile or stuck in the same position voted Bush. Interestingly, downwardly mobile also voted for Nader more frequently than those upwardly mobile (4 vs 2%).

The implication of it is that downwardly mobile people tend to espouse fascist/reactionary tendencies, which explains their vote for Bush. Only the disgruntled downwardly mobile lefties may vote for a lefty alternative to the Democratic party, but since they such a pathetic minority - they are a mere noise in the system, but sometimes can be a spoiler.

If that analysis is correct, Bush will win big time in 2004 is he plays the right reactionary tune - judging by the lousy state of the US economy.

Wojtek

Family's Financial Situation

All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader Better 50 % 61 % 36 % 0 % 2 % Worse 11 % 33 % 63 % 0 % 4 % Same 38 % 35 % 60 % 1 % 3 %

Economy a Year From Now

All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader Better 19 % 70 % 26 % 0 % 2 % Worse 66 % 45 % 52 % 1 % 2 % Same 12 % 33 % 62 % 1 % 3 % Poor 2 % 33 % 58 % 1 % 6 %



More information about the lbo-talk mailing list