[lbo-talk] The Youth DID Vote

snit snat snitilicious at tampabay.rr.com
Thu Nov 4 02:54:16 PST 2004


The Youth DID Vote by Matt Stoller

The conventional wisdom is flat-out wrong. The youth voted. And unlike 2000, where they were split evenly, the group went for Kerry. In fact, it was the only age group that did.

At least 20.9 million Americans under the age of 30 voted in 2004, an increase of 4.6 million over 2000,1 and the turnout rate among these voters rose from about 42.3% to 51.6%, a sharp rise of 9.3 percentage points, according to final national exit polls and an early tally of votes cast. Youth voter turnout was especially high in the contested battleground states. "This is phenomenal," said CIRCLE Director William A. Galston. "It represents the highest youth turnout in more than a decade, 4 percentage points higher than the previous peak year of 1992."

Because young people participated in considerably larger numbers than they had in the past, they kept pace with the higher turnout of Americans of all ages. Voters under the age of 30 constituted the same proportion of all voters as they did in 2000 (about 18%). Young people voted at a much higher rate in contested, "battleground" states.2 In the ten most contested states, youth turnout was 64%, up 13 percentage points from 2000. In the battleground states, the youth share of the electorate was 19%. In the remaining 40 states and the District of Columbia, youth turnout was 47% and the youth share of the electorate was 18%. One explanation for the higher rates of participation in the battleground states is that there was greater voter outreach and political advertising in these states. Current research shows that youth participate when they are asked to do so. http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/11/4/02741/4708

"We live under the Confederacy. We're a podunk bunch of swaggering pious hicks."

--Bruce Sterling



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