[lbo-talk] 2004 High Turnout and High Percentage for Kerry (Re: No, actually, I don't believe it.

[kjkhoo at softhome.net]

At 3:47 pm -0500 4/11/04, Doug Henwood wrote:
>Nathan Newman wrote:
>
>>----- Original Message -----
>>From: "Doug Henwood" <dhenwood at panix.com>
>>
>>-Not at all. Turnout matches 1980, lower than 1992.
>>
>>Doug-- You are being inaccurate or at least confusing turnout based on
>>"voting age population" versus "voting eligible population."
>
>I quite deliberately chose VAP rather than VEP as the denominator. 
>As the Census guy told me when I was doing my Atlas back in 1994, 
>they use VAP as the denominator because immigrants etc. have to obey 
>laws and pay taxes, so total pop over 18 is the relevant number.

But in the case of voting, surely it should be VEP, as that would be 
the universe from which voters would come?

Anyway, don't know whether these numbers --

http://ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm (thanks to ravi for 
pointing me to the princeton site, which pointed to this)

with the voter turnout column are any good (surely there must be 
independents and non-aligned?). But if they are, then voter turnout 
of this proportions are high by any standard.

But the numbers are interesting for what appears to be the 
discrepancy between optical scan results and touch-screen results.