>Isn't it that the opinion polls depend ultimately on the lists of already
>registered voters and do not include newly registered voters? Normally, it
>does not matter that much, but this year there are many reports of voter
>registration offices being overwhelmed by new applications.
There's some buzz about using registration lists, but pollsters just dial up people randomly and trust them to answer correctly on their registration status and intentions. It may be that their likely voter filters are especially inaccurate with all these new hopped-up voters on the rolls.
Doug