[lbo-talk] MoveOn v. Bush (or Kerry Blow-out?)

John Thornton jthorn65 at mchsi.com
Thu Sep 2 20:33:11 PDT 2004



>Bush is going to lose. It may be close or it may be a blowout-- that's the
>main debate I'm having with myself trying to analyze the race.
>
>
>Nathan Newman

I haven't heard anyone else on this list express this sentiment. I notice you say Bush is going to lose rather than Kerry is going to win. Is this too how you see it, people not voting for Kerry but rather voting against Bush? I am reticent to make predictions about elections but if I had to express an opinion I would say that Bush is going to lose and lose badly. The media will be stunned that they called the race so close only to have Kerry win by a landslide. I would not bet money on this outcome but for a few months now this is the election outcome I have come to expect. I am not at all convinced that this is the best possible outcome to this election however. A Bush re-elected and presiding over a Democratically controlled Congress might be better in the long run but no one can accurately make predictions about such things as there are simply too many unknown variables.

John Thornton



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