----- Original Message ----- From: John Thornton To: lbo-talk at lbo-talk.org Sent: Thursday, September 02, 2004 8:33 PM Subject: Re: [lbo-talk] MoveOn v. Bush (or Kerry Blow-out?)
>Bush is going to lose. It may be close or it may be a blowout--
>that's the
>main debate I'm having with myself trying to analyze the race.
>
>
>Nathan Newman
I haven't heard anyone else on this list express this sentiment. I notice you say Bush is going to lose rather than Kerry is going to win. Is this too how you see it, people not voting for Kerry but rather voting against Bush? I am reticent to make predictions about elections but if I had to express an opinion I would say that Bush is going to lose and lose badly. The media will be stunned that they called the race so close only to have Kerry win by a landslide. I would not bet money on this outcome but for a few months now this is the election outcome I have come to expect. I am not at all convinced that this is the best possible outcome to this election however. A Bush re-elected and presiding over a Democratically controlled Congress might be better in the long run but no one can accurately make predictions about such things as there are simply too many unknown variables.
John Thornton ===================== John Kerry *is* an unknown variable. GWB isn't. GWB, if elected isn't only going to be a lame duck president... he'll be a dead duck too!
I know the WashPost and the NYTimes, et al. aren't exactly the most radical papers in the world, but they were badly burned by the administration's Iraq info, and more... Lots more. They are not happy campers.
Last year an editor from the NYTimes visited Florida to observe the local elections, and was *forcibly removed* from a polling place. That set off the bells & whistles at the Times. The Washington Post is *all over* the pentagon in re: Abu Ghraib and they aren't backing off either. Just a few weeks ago an editorial was wondering when the followup public hearings were happening as they were promised.
GW has shot his wad... How long till everyone figures out what John Kerry is up to, behind the curtain of secrecy that is *not* going to disappear on the day he's elected. Or the day after that.
Leigh Meyers