[lbo-talk] Time: Bush has 11-point lead

[snit snat]

At 05:43 PM 9/3/2004, Doug Henwood wrote:
>By the way, the Time poll is of likely voters; the American Research Group 
>poll, of registered voters. It's not easy to project who the likely voters 
>are, especially this year. The standard technique is to assign each person 
>in the sample a voting likelihood (based on demographics and past 
>behavior), then rank the sample on the basis of likelihood, then cut 
>exclude those below a certain likelihood based on projected voter turnout. 
>But predicting turnout is very tricky.
>
>Doug

800 of them were LVs.

The results presented here are based on 1,014 completed telephone interviews
conducted among a nationwide random sample of registered voters. Of the
total sample of 1,014 registered voters, 800 are likely voters in November.

Kelley


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