[lbo-talk] Risk and Keynesian Uncertainty

Charles Brown cbrown at michiganlegal.org
Fri Jul 29 13:33:54 PDT 2005


Cseniornyc at aol.com :


>But in any event, the partially managed economies of the capitalist
>west have suffered from successful attacks on the dismantling of
>this apparatus since the 1980's, not the other way round, as a wave
>of deregulation took place increasing general investment risk
>levels. Evidence of this abounds in the numerous currency crises in
>Mexico, Argentina, SE Asia and Russia in the 1990's motivated by the
>introduction of flexible exchange rates and the liberalization of
>capital flows. Locally this can be observed in the cases of the
>S&L crisis, the bankruptcies of LTM Capital and Enron, the Telecom
>and Tech Bubbles in the 1990's,the current Housing Bubble, etc.
>True, the State through the central bank acts,occasionally , as
>rescuer of last resort, but it is acknowledged this only increases
>"moral hazard" encouraging excessive risk taking, especially as the
>economy has turned to be dominated by the financial sector.

The state keeps rescuing capital when it gets in trouble - every disaster you list was bailed out either through lowered interest rates, soothing words from the central bankers, or actual state expenditures. Moral hazard may increase the risk, but until they let some big ones go down and hang the macro consequences, the Greenspan put remains unexpired.

^^^^ CB: This seems to be evidence that state-monopoly capitalism still exists, with "monopoly" defined as "too big to fail".

^^^^^^^


>The increase in importance of "risk management" firms and
>specialists plus the growing number of hedge funds and the
>continuous expansion of new financial instruments such as the
>derivatives,MBS's,ABS's,etc, is vivid testimony of the widespread
>level of risk taking in the economy. Actually, Floyd Norris was
>pointing out in last Sunday's NYTimes how Greenspan is turning
>American workers into gamblers vis the mortagage bubble and the
>possible privatization of S.S.

Uncertainty is for the little people.

Doug



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