Stuart Elliott wrote:
> http://newappeal.blogspot.com/2006/01/hamas-victory-artificial-sweep.html
>
> Hamas's stunning victory has been described as a "sweeping
> victory." However, the lopsided "wide margin" in the Palestinian
> Parliament is largely the result of an electoral system that is even
> more disproportionate than the US or Canadian First-Past-The-Post
> system, rather than a overwhelming
>
> The Palestinian system featured two tiers (1) multi-member districts
> and (2) a national proportional list. The multi-member districts
> reward parties with greater discipline and punish ticket- splitting.
> More than 100 Fatah members ran as independents and there were several
> smaller lists which appealed to Fatah voters.
>
> The system was designed to benefit Fatah but it ended up helping Hamas.
>
> Hamas has won apparently 76 seats, Fatah 43, and other parties and
> independents 13.
>
> Looking at the actual votes on the nationalist, shows a relatively
> close division of opinion.
>
> Here are the national proportional results
>
>
> Hamas 434,817 (30 seats)
>
> Fatah Movement 403,458 (27 seats)
>
> Martyr Abu Ali Mustafa (PFLP) 41,671 (3 seats)
>
> The Alternative 28,779 (coalition of the Democratic Front for the
> Liberation of Palestine (DFLP), the Palestinian People's Party, and
> the Palestinian Democratic Union Party) (2 seats)
>
> Independent Palestine (Mustafa Barghouti) 26,554 (2 seats)
>
> The Third Way 23,513 ( 2 seats)
>
> (Doesn't include votes for list that didn't make the threshold.)
>
> Among other things this means that the exit polls were not that
> wrong. The difference between the predicted narrow Fatah victory and
> the actual Hamas victory was not that great.
>
> It may also explain why Fatah is eager to go into opposition.
>
>
>
> Stuart Elliott
>
> http://newappeal.blogspot.com/
> www.ksworkbeat.org
>
>------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
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