On Apr 16, 2007, at 10:00 AM, Joseph Catron wrote:
> But that doesn't really address the Evangelical Lutheran Church in
> America or other denominations that are culturally mainline,
> politically moderate, and theologically evangelical, like the United
> Methodist Church, which resulted from a merger between the Methodist
> Church and the Evangelical United Brethren.
Maybe not, but tendencies are rarely 100% of anything. Self- identification may matter - do the United Methodists, for example, identify as Methodist or evangelical?
In 2004, Bush got 56% of the votes of self-identified Proestants; 49% of Catholics; 22% of Jews; 29% of those with no religion (10% of the electorate, by the way, almost half as many as the next category); and Evangelicals (22% of the electorate), 76%.
In an analysis of the 2004 vote, Pew pointed out that the best statistical predictors of vote were black race (overwhelmingly Kerry) and frequent churchgoing (overwhelmingly Bush).
Doug