[lbo-talk] WSJ discovers Minsky

bhandari at berkeley.edu bhandari at berkeley.edu
Sat Aug 25 22:42:15 PDT 2007


However good his dance steps, can't possibly see how Minsky's theory can be understood as Marxist. No real impediments in the real sector of the economy? No wonder Meyer and others can enthuse about his theory. Doug, you don't agree with that yourself, given your insistence that the Fed responds to a real tightness in the labor market, though Fed action does not seem as mechanical as that either. I of course insist that difficulties with the profitability of net investment are quite possible even with wage gains lagging behind productivity growth or unit labor costs falling.

James Crotty has noted: Minsky is quite emphatic...(an) investment decline can never be initiated by a prior decline in the expected profitability of investment; rather, it takes an initial drop in investment to induce a subsequent decline in profits. Investment and profits are not mutually codetermining: investment spending calls the tune and profits dance accordingly. As Minsky puts it: 'In the simplest Kalecki case, where aggregate profit equals aggregate investment, the shortfall of realized profits below anticipated profits requires a logically prior shortfall of investment. This leaves the question of...crises..and...depressions unexplained, for it is the decline of investment that has to be explained.' Minsky's view on this point is also summarized in the following quotation: 'The profitability of existing capital--and profit expectations-can only change if investment and expected investment [first]decline. Thus we have took elsewhere--to arguments other than those derived from assumed properties of production functions and hand waves with regard to over-investment--to explain why the marginal efficiency of investment falls. The natural place to look within the Schumpeter-Keynes-Kalecki vision is in the impact of financing relations.' Thus, Minsky, can find no impediments to perpetual balanced growth in the real sector of the economy. The roots of instability are to be found in the financial markets.

Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Summer 1990, p.530



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