[lbo-talk] Edison says...

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Thu Jan 10 11:54:00 PST 2008


Joe Lenski, research director of Edison Research - which does a lot of exit polls, including New Hampshire - just posted this to the AAPOR list, in response to some of the theories about vote count manipulation circulating on the net.


> I don't usually want to even discuss these unsubstantiated claims of
> election fraud. They are usually made by people who want to believe
> something first and then pick and choose among the tea-leaves for a
> few
> random "facts" that could prove their case.
>
> Our preliminary evidence from the New Hampshire Democratic Primary
> returns on Tuesday night are that Hillary Clinton's strong areas
> correlated with the areas of the state that went for John Kerry in
> 2004
> and Al Gore in 2000. Barack Obama's strong areas seemed to
> resemble the
> areas carried by Howard Dean in 2004 and Bill Bradley in 2000. So
> unless there has been hidden election fraud in New Hampshire for the
> last three presidential primaries the "evidence" being used by these
> fraudsters probably does not hold up to any rigorous statistical
> analysis.



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