On Jan 10, 2008, at 11:54 AM, Doug Henwood wrote:
> Joe Lenski, research director of Edison Research - which does a lot
> of exit polls, including New Hampshire - just posted this to the
> AAPOR list, in response to some of the theories about vote count
> manipulation circulating on the net.
>
>> I don't usually want to even discuss these unsubstantiated claims of
>> election fraud. They are usually made by people who want to believe
>> something first and then pick and choose among the tea-leaves for a
>> few
>> random "facts" that could prove their case.
>>
>> Our preliminary evidence from the New Hampshire Democratic Primary
>> returns on Tuesday night are that Hillary Clinton's strong areas
>> correlated with the areas of the state that went for John Kerry in
>> 2004
>> and Al Gore in 2000. Barack Obama's strong areas seemed to
>> resemble the
>> areas carried by Howard Dean in 2004 and Bill Bradley in 2000. So
>> unless there has been hidden election fraud in New Hampshire for the
>> last three presidential primaries the "evidence" being used by these
>> fraudsters probably does not hold up to any rigorous statistical
>> analysis.
>
>
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