[lbo-talk] Intrade

Shane Mage shmage at pipeline.com
Mon Jan 28 11:52:51 PST 2008


On Jan 28, 2008, at 2:16 PM, Doug Henwood wrote:


> SC didn't put much of a dent in the bettors' evaluation of HRC's
> chances:

They seem to discount completely the possibility of a multiple-ballot convention, and therefore give a virtually zero probability that anyone but Clinton or Obama would be nominated--even though the most "electable" possibilities are Gore and Edwards. Is this realistic--or just freakonomics?

Shane Mage

"Thunderbolt steers all things...it consents and does not consent to be called Zeus."

Herakleitos of Ephesos



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