[lbo-talk] comparisons

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Mon Jul 7 13:37:36 PDT 2008


Poking around the web, I'm still seeing comparisons of the present financial crisis to 1929. A few comparisons might be in order. The following table shows the change in industrial production, the stock market (S&P 500), and the unemployment rate from the pre-crisis peak to roughly a year later. The peaks were Sept 1929 and July 2007. The later dates are July 1930 and May 2008 for IP; Sept 1930 and July 2008 for stocks. There weren't monthly unemployment numbers in 1929-30, so I've used the annual averages; for 2007-8, the points of comparison are July 2007 and June 2008.

1929-30 2007-8 IP -20.7% -1.0% stocks -33.9% -17.6% unempl +5.5% +0.8%



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