The uncertainty in climate modeling http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/roundtables/the-uncertainty-climate-modeling
Completed: 22 April 2008
Simulating the global ecosystem is complex, potentially involving infinite variables that describe and relate nature's chemical, physical, and biological processes. The resulting range of possible climate scenarios has led to public confusion about the validity of climate prediction--and, more urgently, to delays in appropriate action. To better understand how climate scientists make their global weather forecasts (and why their predictions don't always agree), below, our four discussants explain the theory and practice of climate modeling and discuss how climate predictions should be interpreted and used.
Copyright © 2008 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.