[lbo-talk] e: Patterns

Charles Brown charlesb at cncl.ci.detroit.mi.us
Wed Nov 5 09:46:18 PST 2008



>>> "Julio Huato"
Doug wrote:


> "But there was no massive turnout among
> young voters. According to the exit polls,
> 18% of the voters this time were under 30,
> as compared to 17% of voters in 2004.
> (By comparison, 22% of voting-age
> Americans are under 30.)"

Yes, this is right. But it does not conflict with the notion that Obama inspired the political participation of an unusually large number of young people. That's because, although the total of youth participation (as a percentage of the voting population) remained roughly constant, the share of them who supported Obama (as opposed to McCain) jumped. In that sense, Obama was a phenomenon among young people. (See Gelman's graph 3.)

^^^^ CB: What percentage of the Obama party militants who did so much campaign work, door-to-door canvassing , phone banking , etc. were youth ? In the Detroit near eastside teams, Tyra, Danielle, Troy, Hannah and Christin were awesome, did all the main work organizing , door knocking.

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