[lbo-talk] Fwd: ABC News/Washington Post Poll: After the Conventions

Michael Pollak mpollak at panix.com
Tue Sep 9 05:26:02 PDT 2008


On Tue, 9 Sep 2008, Wojtek Sokolowski wrote:


>>> White women have moved from 50-42 percent in Obama's favor before the
>>> conventions to 53-41 percent for McCain now, a 20-point shift in the
>>> margin that's one of the single biggest post-convention changes in
>>> voter preferences.
>>
>> That is just appalling. I hope that doesn't hold up.
>
> [WS:] Appalling? - yes; surprising? - hardly. I said that it would
> happen, but few on this list bought my argument.
>
> To reiterate - Repugs do not need a huge support, just enough middle
> Amerikkka identity politics trolls, rednecks and suburban fatheads to
> get 50% +1 vote, and Palin's selection speaks right to that segment of
> the population.

Wojtek, this argument refers to a wide swathe of multiple groups. The quotation cited refers to just one: white women taken as a whole. Unless you think white women are inherently trolls, rednecks and fatheads, your argument doesn't have anything to do with this swing.

Unless you are asserting that the median white woman is an identity politics troll. Which, if true, I repeat, would be appalling.

Personally I've always thought the median woman was smarter than the median man. If this holds up I may have to revise that :o)

Michael



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