[lbo-talk] Cohen: A serious peace plan from a serious fraction of the RC

Michael Pollak mpollak at panix.com
Thu Mar 26 02:59:37 PDT 2009


[Man, I never thought I'd see this on the op ed page of the NYT]

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/26/opinion/26cohen.html

The New York Times

March 26, 2009

Op-Ed Columnist

The Fierce Urgency of Peace

By ROGER COHEN

Pressure on President Obama to recast the failed American approach to

Israel-Palestine is building from former senior officials whose counsel

he respects.

Following up on a letter dated Nov. 6, 2008, that was handed to Obama

late last year by Paul Volcker, now a senior economic adviser to the

president, these foreign policy mandarins have concluded a "Bipartisan

Statement on U.S. Middle East Peacemaking" that should become an

essential template:

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/26/opinion/26cohen.html

Deploring "seven years of absenteeism" under the Bush administration,

they call for intense American mediation in pursuit of a two-state

solution, "a more pragmatic approach toward Hamas," and eventual U.S.

leadership of a multinational force to police transitional security

between Israel and Palestine.

The 10 signatories -- of both the four-page letter and the report --

include Volcker himself, former national security advisers Brent

Scowcroft and Zbigniew Brzezinski, former Senator Chuck Hagel, former

World Bank President James Wolfensohn, former U.S. Trade Representative

Carla Hills, former Congressman Lee Hamilton and former U.S. ambassador

to the United Nations Thomas Pickering.

My understanding is their thinking coincides in significant degree with

that of both George Mitchell, Obama's Middle East envoy, and Gen. James

Jones, Obama's national security adviser who worked on security issues

with Israelis and Palestinians in the last year of the Bush

administration, an often frustrating experience.

This overlap gives the report particular significance.

Of Hamas, the target of Israel's futile pounding of Gaza, the eminent

Group of 10 writes that, "Shutting out the movement and isolating Gaza

has only made it stronger and Fatah weaker."

They urge a fundamental change: "Shift the U.S. objective from ousting

Hamas to modifying its behavior, offer it inducements that will enable

its more moderate elements to prevail, and cease discouraging third

parties from engaging with Hamas in ways that might clarify the

movement's view and test its behavior."

Although this falls short of my own recommendation that the United

States itself -- rather than European allies -- engage with moderate

elements of Hamas, such a shift is critical.

Without Hamas's involvement, there can be no Middle East peace. Mahmoud

Abbas, the Fatah leader and president of the Palestinian Authority, is

a beleaguered figure.

The report goes further: "Cease discouraging Palestinian national

reconciliation and make clear that a government that agrees to a

cease-fire with Israel, accepts President Mahmoud Abbas as the chief

negotiator and commits to abiding by the results of a national

referendum on a future peace agreement would not be boycotted or

sanctioned."

In other words, stop being hung up on prior Hamas recognition of Israel

and watch what it does rather than what it says. If Hamas is part of,

and remains part of, a Palestinian unity government that makes a peace

deal with Israel, that's workable.

Henry Siegman, the president of the U.S./Middle East Project, whose

chairman is Scowcroft and board includes all 10 signatories, told me

that he met recently with Khaled Meshal, the political director of

Hamas in Damascus.

Meshal told him, and put in writing, that although Hamas would not

recognize Israel, it would remain in a Palestinian national unity

government that reached a referendum-endorsed peace settlement with

Israel.

De facto, rather than de jure, recognition can be a basis for a

constructive relationship, as Israel knows from the mutual benefits of

its shah-era dealings with Iran.

Israeli governments have negotiated a two-state solution although they

included religious parties that do not recognize Palestinians' right to

statehood.

"But," Siegman said, "if moderates within Hamas are to prevail, a

payoff is needed for their moderation. And until the U.S. provides one,

there will be no Palestinian unity government."

The need for that incentive is reflected in the four core proposals of

what the authors call "a last chance for a two-state Israel-Palestine

agreement." Taken together, they constitute the start of an essential

rebalancing of America's Bush-era Israel-can-do-no-wrong policy.

The first is clear U.S. endorsement of a two-state solution based on

the lines of June 4, 1967, with minor, reciprocal, agreed land swaps

where necessary. That means removing all West Bank settlements except

in some heavily populated areas abutting Jerusalem -- and, of course,

halting the unacceptable ongoing construction of new ones.

The second is establishing Jerusalem as home to the Israeli and

Palestinian capitals. Jewish neighborhoods would be under Israeli

sovereignty and Arab neighborhoods under Palestinian sovereignty, with

special arrangements for the Old City providing unimpeded access to

holy sites for all communities.

The third is major financial compensation and resettlement assistance

in a Palestinian state for refugees, coupled with some formal Israeli

acknowledgment of responsibility for the problem, but no generalized

right of return.

The fourth is the creation of an American-led, U.N.-mandated

multinational force for a transitional period of up to 15 years leading

to full Palestinian control of their security.

Obama has told Volcker that he would, in time, meet with the

signatories of the letter. He should do so once an Israeli government

is in place. And then he should incorporate their ideas in laying out

the new realism of American commitment to Palestine and the new price

of American commitment to Israel.



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