[lbo-talk] green consumers: thieving pricks
Miles Jackson
cqmv at pdx.edu
Fri Mar 19 08:23:22 PDT 2010
Wojtek S wrote:
> Miles: Again, the experimental design does control for this possible effect.
> The results provide clear evidence of causality.
>
> [WS:] It does not take much to convince you, apparently. As for me, the
> experiment suggests a connection but not causality, because it does not rule
> out spuriousness. To prove a connection, I would like to see more rigorous
> actual controls and fewer heroic assumptions about those controls.
>
I'm making no heroic assumptions; I'm just passing along what every
statistics student learns in their first course on probability. If you
randomly assign people to two groups, the potential confounds are also
randomly distributed across the groups, and it is not plausible to argue
that the groups systematically differ. Really, it's Probability 101.
Random assignment to experimental condition is a very powerful and
rigorous technique to control confounds here (including any potential
confounds you and I are not clever enough to imagine!).
Miles
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