On Wed, Nov 10, 2010 at 10:25 PM, SA <s11131978 at gmail.com> wrote:
> On 11/10/2010 9:29 PM, Marv Gandall wrote:
>
>
> If compromise is motherhood and apple pie, why are the Republicans in this
>>> poll opposed to it?
>>>
>>
>> What incentive do they have to compromise? It is the Obama administration
>> which has given way on each occasion
>>
>
>
> True, but then why do the Democrats in the poll keep favoring compromise?
>
> In nuclear strategy, Paul Nitze used to propound the doctrine of
> "escalation dominance." If a crisis escalates, and each side fires its
> weapons, the chain of escalation will eventually reach a rung where one side
> runs out of weapons. That side will find itself disarmed and lose
> catastrophically. Knowing this in advance, it will seek to avoid
> confrontation from the beginning, and will always preemptively concede. I
> think the Democrats are in the position of the side with fewer weapons. For
> example, based on the poll I cited, the population seems to contain at least
> twice as many anti-compromise Republicans as anti-compromise Democrats. In
> that situation, it may well be prudent for Democrats to concede in advance.
>
> You cite polls showing the popularity of rescinding tax cuts for the rich.
> Progressives are always citing polls that show the popularity of their
> issues. There's nothing wrong with the polls, but polls don't tell you how
> an actual political confrontation will play out. Think about the health care
> debate. All the polls showed that universal coverage was popular. Obama had
> won agreements from the lobbies not to oppose the bill. Major Republican
> politicians had already endorsed individual insurance mandates (the bill's
> least popular element) in the past. How could Obama lose?
>
> Well, the Right had more ammunition. They had flesh-and-blood human beings
> -- not telephone poll respondents -- show up to town halls and yell about
> death panels. They had propaganda outlets with millions of views and
> listeners yelling about socialism. The popularity of Obama's reform -- which
> was originally high -- plummeted in the polls. Moderate Democrats started
> wavering and demanding concessions. The concessions sparked outrage from
> numerically few but vocal liberals. The bill seemed to be in deep trouble.
> The Right smelled blood in the water and refused all compromise. Etc. In the
> end, the bill passed but health reform -- Obama's greatest "accomplishment"
> -- is now a major political liability.
>
> My real point about Obama is that it's not helpful to fulminate about the
> weakness and betrayals of politicians. The fault lies not in our stars but
> in ourselves.
>
> SA
>
>
>
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-- ********************************************************* Alan P. Rudy Dept. Sociology, Anthropology and Social Work Central Michigan University 124 Anspach Hall Mt Pleasant, MI 48858 517-881-6319