US policymakers seem to agree that if Iran obtains nuclear weapons, there will follow a nuclear domino effect in the Middle East. However, after Israel developed nuclear capabilities in 1960, no regional nuclear chain followed. The persistence of worst-case thinking regarding a nuclear Iran is alarming since the expected consequences of a nuclear Iran determine the policies pursued. If the US predicts catastrophic consequences that are out of sync with reality, then they will take actions that are disproportionate to the threat
Ismail Lagardien Department of Politics and Public Administration
Elon University Elon, NC 27244
Tel: +1(612) 227-5037 (Personal)