Henry C.K. Liu
Chris Burford wrote:
> At 20:55 06/01/99 -0000, Sol wrote:
> >The piece under Blair's name in the WSJ seems to be part of a charm offensive
> >belatedly launched from London when Brit ruling circles as usual realised too
> >late that the perfidious continentals are aiming to use the Euro and their
> >greater unity within the EU to attack London's dominance as the main global
> >centre for 'offshore' finance. The laser shows and general jollifications in
> >Frankfurt for the Euro-launch made London seem peripheral, so we had Eddie
> >George, Bank of England Governor, on the radio to reassure people that London
> >will still be Europe's financial capital.
> >
>
> I agree that London is under serious pressure now and ultimately this is
> what matters over 20-30 years. Britain punching above its weight because of
> its willingness to join in military activities with the USA, giving it a
> semblance of international credibility without having to win true
> consensus, will not last for ever, and can be finessed.
>
> An article in today's International Herald Tribune details the common
> criticism of Britain's attempt to straddle Europe and the USA. The
> Europeans, that is the real Europeans (!) are well used to handling this.
> One lever will be for Europe to take more of a lead internationally,
> including militarily. Another will be around the unification of Europe's
> defence industry, from which Britain cannot afford to be left out.
>
> Another may be moves towards global financial management, with Europe and
> Japan now ready to be more interventionist, despite US reluctance. Britain
> may promote this in order to be able to straddle the Atlantic a bit longer.
>
> Whether this is ultimately possible depends on how much you believe in
> ultra-imperialism. I do not think that nowadays inter-imperialist rivalry
> automatically leads to war. There are many other ways the conflict can be
> managed. But that does not mean that such conflicts have disappeared, or
> are unimportant.
>
> London presumably hopes it can retain its advantage over Frankfurt by
> reason of having the lead in the west European time zone, and by the more
> international nature of its city. But Frankfurt is the centre of the
> concentration of capital represented by the Euro, and it surely must grow
> in dominance. The complex process of unification of the European Stock
> Exchanges may disguise much of this rivalry, and the results may depend on
> the unpredicted workings of certain details that cannot as yet be foreseen,
> but of the technical sort that Sol describes. Yet the ultimate gravity
> towards Frankfurt ought to prevail.
>
> Meanwhile an opinion poll in yesterday's Guardian shows majorities against
> Euro entry in all strata of the British population, and in both genders. It
> is unlikely that Labour would like to take on an open referendum campaign
> for entry, this side of the next election.
>
> Chris Burford
>
> London