again on china

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Thu May 11 07:42:58 PDT 2000


M A Jones wrote:


>Lester Brown's 1997 piece on how China won't be able to feed itself is
>archived at:
>http://www.britannica.com/bcom/magazine/article/0,5744,7155,00.html
>
>I read yesterday somewhere that if China accedes to the WTO its arable
>agriculture, wheat in partic, will be decimated by cheap imports capturing
>30% + of the doemstic market. One of Lester Brown's assumptions is that
>world grain surpluses would soon be swallowed by Chinese demand IN EXCESS of
>its own (failing) domestic production. What's the stroty here?

If I had the nerve, I'd love to do a Julian Simon-style bet with Brown on this. I suspect these disasters won't materialize.

Doug



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