[lbo-talk] Krugman: U.S. the Next Argentina

mike larkin mike_larkin2001 at yahoo.com
Mon Sep 15 20:48:25 PDT 2003


from Calpundit:

http://www.calpundit.com/archives/002158.html

Here's an excerpt from my interview, where [Krugman] talks about what he thinks is going to happen to the U.S. economy:

We're headed for some kind of collision, and there are three things that can happen. Just by the arithmetic, you can either have

*

big tax increases, roll back the whole Bush program plus,

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or you can sharply cut Medicare and Social Security, because that�s where the money is,

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or the U.S. just tootles along until we actually have a financial crisis....and we turn into Argentina.

Which one of those is most likely? What's your best guess?

I think financial crisis....

Really? A financial crisis in the United States? Like in Argentina? Krugman admits that conventional wisdom says this is impossible, so I ask him again:

And do you think that's a serious possibility for the United States?

Yeah, I mean, you just take the numbers as they now look, and that�s where it heads....I think we have to take seriously the possibility that things won't work out this time.

Oh.

Here's the thing. In person you can tell that he's dead serious. And whatever you think of Krugman's politics, he's a top flight, world renowned economist whose professional specialty is international economic disasters.

And when a top flight, world renowned economist tells me that an Argentina-like financial collapse is a serious possibility in America, that's just really damn depressing.

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