[lbo-talk] Red, Purple and Blue

[Christian Gregory]

> >
> >    Among likely voters, Kerry gets 50% support, Bush 44%, and Nader just
> >    2% -- a two-point decline for Kerry, no decline for Bush.
>
> This is a remarkable result.  Nader gets 5% of *registered*
> voters, but only 2% of the--significantly smaller--number
> of "likely" voters.  This means that some *4 million* voters
> would support Nader if they voted but would almost
> certainly not vote at all if their only choice were between the
> Dumbocrat and Republicon candidates!

How so? The poll of both likely and registered voters includes Nader. Which
means that Nader voters are a lot less likely to actually vote than their
Dem or Repug counterparts, which, given the costs of voting, doesn't speak
well to the high ideals that this candidacy is supposed to represent.

Since, as Doug rightly
> insists, the Nader voters overwhelmingly regard Kerry as
> a lesser evil to Bush, their votes, if cast, would be expected to go
> just as overwhelmingly to anti-Bush candidates for House and
> Senate.  That many votes  should be more than enough to reverse the
> present control of both houses of Congress.  So when the CPUSA
> and its lac[n]ies say that "a vote for Nader is a vote for Bush,"
> the answer is "a vote against Nader is a vote for Hastert and Frist!"
>

I don't get this. How so?

Christian