[lbo-talk] polls from yesteryear

[Doug Henwood]

[posted by Queens College prof Andrew Beveridge to AAPORnet]

Four years ago, on October 27, 2000, a mere week and a half before 
the election, CNN said that polls from six major news sources -- CNN, 
USA Today, Gallup, ABC News and the Washington Post -- all found that 
George W. Bush was ahead in the popular vote. Some polls said Bush 
was substantially ahead.

"WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Republican presidential nominee George W. Bush 
holds a 49-to-43 percent edge over Democratic rival Al Gore in the 
latest CNN/Time poll, conducted Wednesday and Thursday.

The poll of 2,060 adult Americans, including 1,076 likely voters, has 
a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points and is 
thus in essential agreement with a CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll 
also released Friday. That poll gives Bush a 52 percent [to] 39 
percent edge over Gore. More important, both polls show the same 
snapshot of the current state of the presidential campaign: a solid 
advantage for Bush.

ABC News and The Washington Post both have daily tracking polls today 
putting the race at 48 percent for Bush and 45 percent for Gore." 
[at: 
http://www.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/10/27/cnntime.poll/index.html