>Forgive me if this has already been brought up, but in NH and other
>elections involving black candidates, the % estimate for the
>African-American was actually pretty accurate. What was off was the
>share projected for the opponent, so if there is racist
>self-consciousness in responses to pollsters, it is taking the form
>of people being reluctant to admit they are voting for the white
>candidate, not pretending to support the black. This is more
>dubious to me. (Otherwise you have people lying about favoring the
>black being offset by those lying to the contrary.)
>
>>
>>For the sake of argument, let's assume that racism is
>>widely spread among likely Dem voters. Racist views,
>>however, are not socially desirable, and people who
>>hold such views may want to hide them. One way of
>>doing so is to tell the pollster that they are going
>>to vote for a black candidate, even though they may
>>not actually do so. That may explain the discrepancy
>>in question.
>>
>>Wojtek
>>
>>
>>
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